It's no surprise that the inventory levels of residential real estate in Boston are down — way down.
According to the Multiple Listing Service (MLS), in an analysis of the Back Bay, Beacon Hill and South End neighborhoods, it's become extremely low.
Here's a look at the shrinking reality, for Sept. 4 over the past three years:
• 2011: 391 units
• 2012: 196 units
• 2013: 162 units
That's a drop of 141 percent!
So where will the new inventory come from going forward? The current Millennium Place building slated to open this fall is at approximately 75 percent capacity. Beyond that there are plenty of buildings in the works though all seem to be lease options for the moment. Could the developers of these buildings decide to change direction and offer units to purchase instead?
There are approximately 3,200 new leased apartments expecting to be delivered to market in the Boston metro area in 2013, which is more than doubled from 1,500 new supplies in 2012. Add to that an additional 8,000 units expected to be delivered in the next two to three years and you see why we become a bit speculative.
Here are a few of the larger options both hitting the market today and in the near future:
580 Washington St. 265 units
Currently for sale. Approximately 75 percent capacity.
426 Washington St. 500 units
Ground breaking Sept. 17
659 Washington St. 381 units
Currently being leased.
45 Stuart St. 404 units
Spring 2014
1 Herald St. 475 units
Spring 2015
Pier 4 369 units
Spring 2014
L West Square
320 D St. 260 units
Fall 2013
The bottom line is that the Boston real estate market continues to exhibit strong growth supported by a steady improvement in the overall economic employment environment, a steady rise in new construction, a decrease in the overall vacancy rate and a strong rent growth.
Charlie Abrahams is a licensed real estate agent in Boston who works with buyers and sellers and can be reached for any additional information at Bostonrealestate @charlieabrahams.com.
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